Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 14.359040 16.237370 18.358643 20.950117 24.055707 27.689913 32.312269
2025-07-20 12.202978 14.648060 17.646825 21.661231 26.998831 34.009033 44.190789
2025-07-27 10.493342 13.062028 16.377709 21.085544 27.796854 37.355766 52.679319
2025-08-03 9.696697 12.455472 16.179690 21.755453 30.235629 43.296447 66.432074
2025-08-10 8.791161 11.558967 15.423326 21.449581 31.095771 46.932006 77.478687
2025-08-17 8.063199 10.813382 14.765193 21.150319 31.846776 50.464269 89.410597
2025-08-24 7.496549 10.232942 14.268380 21.004340 32.779786 54.460216 103.642878
2025-08-31 6.926811 9.590862 13.603177 20.482171 32.944353 57.021857 115.721671
2025-09-07 6.504282 9.131578 13.170977 20.282759 33.638705 60.758113 132.161533
2025-09-14 5.987323 8.486245 12.383366 19.372996 32.838173 61.178216 140.196157
2025-09-21 5.516274 7.880659 11.611984 18.409281 31.790305 60.838305 146.040258
2025-09-28 5.157793 7.430299 11.062015 17.788803 31.343760 61.783476 156.294716
2025-10-05 5.283719 7.776050 11.890235 19.849175 36.916249 78.975222 232.867323
2025-10-12 5.156103 7.696117 11.980530 20.516662 39.629534 89.990054 299.104797
2025-10-19 4.858754 7.310452 11.497005 19.980744 39.461776 92.890169 333.077365
2025-10-26 4.753343 7.242755 11.577497 20.603875 42.201380 105.532152 432.832407
2025-11-02 4.533513 6.962839 11.245420 20.319431 42.617549 110.975425 500.581046
2025-11-09 4.332428 6.703616 10.932401 20.041040 43.003536 116.525342 579.687310
2025-11-16 4.164569 6.493262 10.696167 19.905208 43.753297 123.758366 687.969064
2025-11-23 3.967520 6.220153 10.321047 19.419144 43.450563 126.940399 770.241323
2025-11-30 3.818925 6.026662 10.087630 19.233443 43.979891 133.763771 909.840491
2025-12-07 3.606370 5.707123 9.588353 18.385674 42.437586 131.371174 941.280849
2025-12-14 3.400645 5.392133 9.082922 17.486606 40.632091 127.380685 948.030650